Soaring Seagulls to edge low-scoring clash

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Chris Hughton

Stoke City are one of the hardest Premier League teams to predict but they look set to come unstuck in a low-scoring encounter at Brighton on Monday.

The wily Chris Hughton has moulded the Seagulls into a very well-organised outfit and, after a few wobbles in the first few weeks of the campaign, they have hit their stride in the last month – beating West Ham and Newcastle to move up to eighth in the table.

They have also secured creditable draws against Everton and Southampton recently.

Goals are a rare commodity in games involving Brighton – they have scored 11 and conceded 11 in their first 11 Premier League matches – so odds of 33/20 on there being under 1.5 goals in Monday’s match is worth considering.

Veteran striker Glenn Murray has been in fine form of late but it may be worth looking at odds of 17/2 for Pascal Gross in the first goalscorer market.

Stoke have conceded 22 goals and have suffered big defeats to Manchester City (7-2) and Chelsea (4-0) already this season.

Mark Hughes’ team did show great character to win 1-0 at Watford three weeks ago but they are a team that have relied on Peter Crouch too much this season.

The 36-year-old former England striker has scored crucial late goals against West Brom, Southampton and Leicester City that have saved the Potters from defeat and he is 11/4 to score at any time again on Monday.

Brighton, who have only lost only one of their last six Premier League games, are solid at home and can keep a clean sheet against Stoke at odds of 6/4 while they are 23/4 to edge to a 1-0 victory.

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