City to keep Schalke at bay

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Pep Guardiola

Manchester City can keep Schalke at arm’s length in the Champions League on Tuesday, while we’ve got 6/1 and 22/1 picks for the night’s other game between Juventus and Atletico Madrid.

Manchester City (-31) to have more possession than Schalke @ 20/23

Manchester City once again start red-hot favourites to win a match on Tuesday, this despite not even needing a victory following their 3-2 first-leg success over Schalke a fortnight ago.

It was achieved with City, despite having a man sent off, seeing 67 per cent of the ball and it is the possession market which could offer some value for those feeling squeezed out by the plethora of short prices which surround the hosts these days.

The handicap line has City (-31) which basically means they need more than 65.5% of possession to win the bet.

They’ve topped 70% in seven of their last 10 home games, admittedly against a varying quality of opposition, but Schalke have all sorts of problems at the moment – they’ve lost all three games since the first leg, conceding 10 goals.

City will be quite happy to play keep-ball too if they do get a goal or two in front on the night. With their Quadruple bid gathering pace, they will be keen to preserve energy for tests yet to come.

Atletico Madrid to beat Juventus to nil @ 6/1

Atletico have won their last five games to nil and they can be backed at 6/1 to make it six in a row on Tuesday night. That’s surely too big.

Yes, Juve have quality, particularly in the forward line. But Atletico have to be the best-equipped team in Europe to defend a 2-0 first-leg lead with the likes of Diego Godin and Jose Gimenez at the back. They kept Cristiano Ronaldo very quiet three weeks ago.

Juve continue to dominate domestically but they’ve lost three of their seven Champions League matches this season, including at home to Manchester United.

Jose Gimenez to score at any time @ 22/1

Another value bet worth throwing some small change at is Gimenez to score at any time at 22/1.

Juve struggled on set-pieces in the first leg, conceding twice from them, once to Gimenez.
If you include international games, the Uruguayan has now scored in five of his last 29 and set-plays are sure to be an area Atletico target in this game.

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