Don’t expect early goals when Bayern Munich and Liverpool meet again in the Champions League on Wednesday, while could Barcelona be going out?
Those used to watching Bayern and Liverpool rarely see cagey games but that’s what was on offer when the pair played out a goalless draw three weeks ago and, with so much at stake, we could be set for more of the same here.
Liverpool’s defence has actually been bolstered from the first leg, Virgil van Dijk returning to a back-line which has now kept five clean sheets in the last six games.
For Bayern, the absence of right-back Joshua Kimmich immediately hurts their attacking game – he loves to bomb forward.
The hosts know conceding will leave them needing two, while Liverpool’s attacking instincts will surely have to be curbed somewhat. In any case they’ve netted only three times in their last five away games and once in three in this competition on the road.
Nil-nil at half time – the scoreline at the break in three of Liverpool’s last five games – at 41/20 looks tempting.
Having stifled Barca in the first leg, Lyon may fancy their chances of an upset here.
They’ve raised their game against the better sides this season – they are the only team in Ligue 1 to have beaten PSG, while they also won at Manchester City – and always seem to offer a goal threat.
Nabil Fekir is back from suspension to add to the visitors’ attack and 20/23 about both teams scoring looks a good play, especially when considering Barca have conceded in five of their last six games at home.
Lyon came closest to scoring in the first leg, while in the group stage they netted in all three away games.
For a longer-odds punt, try Houssem Aouar to be carded at 27/4.
The young midfielder doesn’t have a strong history of troubling the referee but he was booked for a foul on Lionel Messi in the first leg and will likely find the Argentine drifting into his area of the pitch in this game.
It’s not hard to see Aouar being dragged back to help deal with Messi and the price looks big, particularly given Szymon Marciniak takes charge; the Pole has produced at least six cards in four of his five European club games this season.
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